@Article{CarvalhoMeNóPiOmRaGi:2015:ImClCh,
               author = "Carvalho, Andr{\'e} Luiz and Menezes, R{\^o}mulo Sim{\~o}es 
                         Cezar and N{\'o}brega, Rany{\'e}re Silva and Pinto, Alexandre de 
                         Siqueira and Ometto, Jean Pierre Henry Balbaud and von Randow, 
                         Celso and Giarolla, Ang{\'e}lica",
          affiliation = "{Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE)} and {Universidade 
                         Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE)} and {Universidade Federal de 
                         Pernambuco (UFPE)} and {Universidade Federal de Sergipe (UFS)} and 
                         {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto 
                         Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de 
                         Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
                title = "Impact of climate changes on potential sugarcane yield in 
                         Pernambuco, northeastern region of Brazil",
              journal = "Renewable Energy",
                 year = "2015",
               volume = "78",
                pages = "26--34",
                month = "June",
             keywords = "Global warming, Future climate scenarios, Century 4.5 model, 
                         Sugarcane.",
             abstract = "Sugarcane is a typical culture of hot and humid climate and 
                         therefore is well adapted to the climate in many regions of 
                         Brazil. However, there may be yield reductions in the Northeastern 
                         region of Brazil due to possible future reductions in rainfall 
                         levels. The aim of this study was to simulate, using the Century 
                         4.5 model, the impact of climate changes on potential sugarcane 
                         yield in Goiana and Itamb{\'e}, Zona da Mata of Pernambuco. The 
                         Century 4.5 model was booted with soil and climate data from 1950 
                         to 2012. Data on total soil carbon, soil texture (sand, silt and 
                         clay contents), pH, soil density and soc stocks were obtained from 
                         previous studies. The climate scenario used was the average 
                         emissions SRES A1B, designed by Eta/CPTEC model for periods 
                         20142040, 20412070 and 20712100, which is composed of LOW member 
                         (low emissions) and HIGH member (high emissions). According to the 
                         results obtained by A1B scenario, the potential yield can be 
                         reduced in the near future (20142040). The high temperatures in 
                         northeastern Brazil will increase the evapotranspiration rates, 
                         reducing the amount of water available in the soil, making the 
                         planting of sugarcane increasingly difficult, which tend to be 
                         strongly reduced in drier areas, such as cities located in the 
                         western portion of the Zona da Mata region, northern state of 
                         Pernambuco, Brazil.",
                  doi = "10.1016/j.renene.2014.12.023",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2014.12.023",
                 issn = "0960-1481",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "Carvalho_Impact.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "27 abr. 2024"
}